Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (10.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.