Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 (10.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.