Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Cultural Leonesa win was 0-1 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.