Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.11% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.