Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.02% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.