Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Aaron Ochoa Moloney 46' yellowcard
  • Aarón Ochoa 46' yellowcard
  • David Larrubia 63' goal
  • Juanpe 70' yellowcard
  • Adrian Nino Heredia 70' yellowcard
  • Adrián Niño 70' yellowcard
  • Eneko Jauregi 87' yellowcard
  • David Larrubia 90'+3' goal
  • Rafa Rodriguez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Rafa Rodríguez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Calero 40'
  • goal Iván Calero 40'
  • yellowcard Diego Collado 77'
  • yellowcard Bicho 77'
  • yellowcard Pelayo González Rey 77'
  • yellowcard Yayo González 77'
  • yellowcard Pelayo González Rey 78'
  • yellowcard Eneko Satrustegui 85'
  • yellowcard Eneko Satrústegui 85'
  • yellowcard Victor Moreno Alcala 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Víctor Moreno 90'+2'

Malaga vs Cultural Leonesa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.30pm
Mirandes 2 - 1 Malaga
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
David Larrubia

Cultural Leonesa

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 5.30pm
Leonesa 0 - 1 Deportivo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Iván Calero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.02% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 51.55% (+1.62)
Draw 26.02% (-0.88)
Cultural Leonesa 22.39% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 25.57% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 50.21% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 49.79% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 28.05% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 71.95% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 15.4% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 84.6% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Malaga 35.24% (+0.89)
Draw 45.39% (-0.76)
Cultural Leonesa 19.37% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Malaga 59.56% (+0.70)
No Goal 7.14% (-0.24)
Cultural Leonesa 33.3% (-0.47)

Corners

Over 8 52.15% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.9% (+0.29)
Under 8 35.96% (+0.01)
Over 9 40.55% (-0.53)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.25)
Under 9 47.86% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 30.16% (-0.70)
Under 10.5 69.84% (+0.71)

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 48.38% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 51.62% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 22.2% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 77.8% (-0.80)
Over 3.5 8.03% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 91.97% (-0.30)

Cultural Leonesa Goals

Over 0.5 59.43% (-1.03)
Under 0.5 40.57% (+1.03)
Over 1.5 25.21% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 74.79% (+1.25)
Over 2.5 7.85% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 92.15% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 2.05% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 97.95% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Malaga 51.55%
Draw 26.02%
Cultural Leonesa 22.39%
Malaga
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 10.13% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.84% (+0.63)
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.33)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.23)
Other @ 7.8% (+0.48)
Total : 51.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.19)
Total : 26.02%
Cultural Leonesa
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.28)
Other @ 1.82% (-0.08)
Total : 22.39%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 17, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT