Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cordoba win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.