Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • David Larrubia 33' goal
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 38' goal
  • Aaron Ochoa Moloney 71' yellowcard
  • Rafa Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Adrian Nino Heredia 78' yellowcard
  • Josue Dorrio 79' yellowcard
  • Adrian Nino Heredia 86' goal
  • Juanpe 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Appin 46'
  • yellowcard Mario Gonzalez 64'
  • yellowcard Aitor Bunuel 72'
  • yellowcard Victor Mollejo 72'
  • yellowcard Brais Martinez 90'+1'

Malaga vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 8.00pm
Cordoba 0 - 1 Malaga
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Carlos Ruiz Rubio

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 5.30pm
Burgos 1 - 0 Huesca
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Ivan Morante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.42% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%) , while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 49.14%
Draw 27.42%
Burgos 23.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.04% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 41.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.22%
Over 3.5 21.2% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.8% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.14%
Under 4.5 88.86%

First Half Winner

Malaga 32.53% (+0.04)
Draw 47.68% (-0.01)
Burgos 19.79% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Malaga 51.56% (-0.05)
No Goal 9.65%
Burgos 38.79% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 48.13% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 39.75% (+0.04)
Over 9 36.68% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 51.87% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 26.73% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 73.26% (+0.04)

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 41.56% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.44% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.76%
Under 3.5 94.24%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 57.07% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.93% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.65%
Under 1.5 78.35%
Over 2.5 5.98%
Under 2.5 94.02%
Over 3.5 1.33%
Under 3.5 98.67%

Score analysis

Malaga 49.16%
Draw 27.43%
Burgos 23.45%
Malaga
1-0 @ 13.72% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 9.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 5.75%
Total : 49.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.43%
Burgos
0-1 @ 8.71% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 28, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 42
May 31, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Rafa Rodriguez 82' goal
  • Julen Lobete 84' goal
  • goal Edu Espiau 9'
  • goal Fernando Nino 65'
Segunda Division Gameweek 19
Dec 15, 2024 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Miguel Atienza 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Sancris 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luismi 84'
Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Lago Junior 43' goal
  • goal Alex Bermejo 63'
Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Juan Artola Canales 62' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 68' yellowcard
  • Grego 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleix Febas 71'
Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mathieu Peybernes 81' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Rubio 41'
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raul Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 90'+4'