Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 3.15pm
Malaga 2 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Carlos Ruiz Rubio

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 5.30pm
Burgos 0 - 0 Eibar
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Ivan Morante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw has a probability of 27.94% and a win for Burgos has a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.99%) , while for a Burgos win it is 0-1 (8.98%).

Result

Malaga 48.13%
Draw 27.94%
Burgos 23.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.09%
Under 1.5 32.91%
Over 2.5 40.84%
Under 2.5 59.16%
Over 3.5 20.71%
Under 3.5 79.29%
Over 4.5 10.72%
Under 4.5 89.28%

First Half Winner

Malaga 31.43%
Draw 48.53%
Burgos 20.05%

Team To Score First

Malaga 50.52%
No Goal 10.06%
Burgos 39.42%

Corners

Over 8 48.49%
Equal 8 12.4%
Under 8 39.12%
Over 9 36.74%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 51.51%
Over 10.5 26.55%
Under 10.5 73.45%

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 40.49%
Under 1.5 59.51%
Over 2.5 16.04%
Under 2.5 83.96%
Over 3.5 5.34%
Under 3.5 94.66%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 57.36%
Under 0.5 42.64%
Over 1.5 21.93%
Under 1.5 78.07%
Over 2.5 6.12%
Under 2.5 93.88%
Over 3.5 1.4%
Under 3.5 98.6%

Score analysis

Malaga 48.13%
Draw 27.95%
Burgos 23.95%
Malaga
1-0 @ 13.9%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 5.29%
Total : 48.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 27.95%
Burgos
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 23.95%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 28, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 42
May 31, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Rafa Rodriguez 82' goal
  • Julen Lobete 84' goal
  • goal Edu Espiau 9'
  • goal Fernando Nino 65'
Segunda Division Gameweek 19
Dec 15, 2024 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Miguel Atienza 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Sancris 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luismi 84'
Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Lago Junior 43' goal
  • goal Alex Bermejo 63'
Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Juan Artola Canales 62' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 68' yellowcard
  • Grego 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleix Febas 71'
Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mathieu Peybernes 81' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Rubio 41'
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raul Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 90'+4'