Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.