Segunda Division Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Nou Estadi Castalia
  • Álvaro García 46' yellowcard
  • Awer Mabil 46' yellowcard
  • Israel Suero 46' yellowcard
  • Salva Ruiz 69' yellowcard
  • Israel Suero 79' goal
  • Marc-Olivier Doué 88' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgi Guliashvili 19'
  • goal Álvaro Mantilla 34'
  • yellowcard Javi Castro 39'
  • goal Giorgi Guliashvili 42'
  • yellowcard Santi Franco 67'
  • yellowcard Maguette Gueye 67'
  • yellowcard Marco Sangalli 67'
  • yellowcard Jaime Mata 90'

Castellon vs Racing de Santander - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Las Palmas 1 - 1 Castellon
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ousmane Camara

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.30pm
Racing 1 - 0 Burgos
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Andres Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 57.08%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-2 (5.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Castellon 57.08% (-0.14)
Draw 21.42% (+0.12)
Racing de Santander 21.53% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.24% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 17.76% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 61.91% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 38.06% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 39.47% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 60.53% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 24.92% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 75.08% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Castellon 42.23% (-0.02)
Draw 38.92%
Racing de Santander 18.84%

Team To Score First

Castellon 64.27% (+0.18)
No Goal 4.23% (-0.02)
Racing de Santander 31.5% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 55.81% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.06)
Under 8 32.28% (-0.20)
Over 9 43.86% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.08)
Under 9 44.18% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 32.87% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.13% (-0.03)

Castellon Goals

Over 1.5 58.04% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 41.96% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 31.09% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 68.91% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 13.89% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 86.11% (+0.21)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5 59.55% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 40.45% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 28.64% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.36% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.52% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Castellon 57.08%
Draw 21.42%
Racing de Santander 21.53%
Castellon
2-1 @ 10.45% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 8.94% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.09% (+0.09)
Other @ 13.68% (-0.17)
Total : 57.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.05)
Total : 21.42%
Racing de Santander
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.62% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.24% (+0.06)
Total : 21.53%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Aug 16, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 35
Apr 13, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
  • Jon Karrika 18' goal
  • Maguette Gueye 33' yellowcard
  • Javi Castro 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 57'
  • goal Thomas van den Belt 64'
  • yellowcard Jozhua Vertrouwd 69'
  • yellowcard Jesus De Miguel Alameda 84'
  • yellowcard Milos Jojic 90'+3'
Segunda Division Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nou Estadi Castalia
  • Dick Schreuder 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Sergio Moyita 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clement Michelin 8'
  • goal Andres Martin 48'
  • yellowcard Aritz Aldasoro 86'