Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 57.08%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-2 (5.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.