Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.