Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (10.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.