Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.74% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.58%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.