Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.15pm
Eibar 0 - 0 Almeria
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 7.30pm
Ceuta 3 - 1 Leonesa
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jose Matos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw has a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.06%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result

Almeria 58.98% (-0.31)
Draw 23.6%
Ceuta 17.46% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.3% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.29% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 26.71% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 48.96% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 51.04% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 27.42% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 72.58% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 15.9% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.1% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Almeria 43.43%
Draw 38.97%
Ceuta 17.61%

Team To Score First

Almeria 63.55% (+0.11)
No Goal 7.4% (-0.16)
Ceuta 29.05% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 56.35%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 31.61%
Over 9 44.2%
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 43.65%
Over 10.5 33.01%
Under 10.5 66.99%

Almeria Goals

Over 1.5 52.08% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.92% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.6% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 74.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.71% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.29% (-0.02)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 52.65% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 47.35% (-0.59)
Over 1.5 19.63% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 80.37% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 5.04% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 94.96% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.1% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.9% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Almeria 58.97%
Draw 23.59%
Ceuta 17.45%
Almeria
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 10.03% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.86% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.67% (+0.02)
Total : 58.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 23.59%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 6.07% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.79% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Total : 17.45%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 9, 2025 3.15pm
0
0
Aband.