Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
  • Sergio Arribas 17' yellowcard
  • Léo Baptistão 23' goal
  • Jon Morcillo 36' goal
  • Adrián Embarba 57' yellowcard
  • Gui Guedes 66' yellowcard
  • Daijiro Chirino 66' yellowcard
  • Thalys 66' yellowcard
  • Arnau Puigmal 74' yellowcard
  • Adrián Embarba 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 46'
  • yellowcard Aisar Ahmed 46'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 46'
  • goal Kuki Zalazar 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Kialy Abdoul Kone 71'
  • yellowcard Marcos Fernández 79'
  • yellowcard Marino Illescas 86'

Almeria vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.15pm
Eibar 1 - 0 Almeria
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 7.30pm
Ceuta 3 - 1 Leonesa
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw has a probability of 23.94% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.27%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (6.12%).

Result

Almeria 58.6% (-0.38)
Draw 23.94% (+0.34)
Ceuta 17.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.05% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 26.95% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 48.56% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 51.44% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 27.12% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 72.88% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 15.72% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 84.28% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Almeria 43.74% (+0.32)
Draw 38.83% (-0.15)
Ceuta 17.43% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Almeria 63.62% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.46% (+0.06)
Ceuta 28.92% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 55.58% (-0.78)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.04)
Under 8 32.35% (+0.75)
Over 9 43.48% (-0.73)
Equal 9 12.1% (-0.06)
Under 9 44.42% (+0.78)
Over 10.5 32.4% (-0.61)
Under 10.5 67.6% (+0.61)

Almeria Goals

Over 1.5 51.7% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 48.3% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 25.19% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 74.81% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 9.54% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 90.46% (+0.17)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 52.81% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 47.19% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 19.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.39% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.13% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 94.87% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 1.15% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.85% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Almeria 58.6%
Draw 23.94%
Ceuta 17.45%
Almeria
1-0 @ 13.36% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 10.88% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.06% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.06)
Other @ 9.45% (-0.23)
Total : 58.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 7.46% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.05)
Total : 23.94%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 6.12% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 17.45%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 9, 2025 3.15pm
0
0
Aband.