Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Cordoba had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Cordoba win was 1-2 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.