Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.51% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.