Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.