Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.