Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.16% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%) , while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.