Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.