Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.52% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%) , while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.