Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (11.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.