Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%).