Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.62% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%) , while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.