Segunda Division Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.30pm
Leonesa 0 - 3 Las Palmas
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jese Rodriguez

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.15pm
Mirandes 0 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Las Palmas win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw has a probability of 29.02% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.16%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (9.23%).

Result

Las Palmas 46.91% (-0.04)
Draw 29.02%
Ceuta 24.07% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.11% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.89% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 38.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 61.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 18.6% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 81.4% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.26% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.74% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Las Palmas 34.41%
Draw 43.56%
Ceuta 22.03%

Team To Score First

Las Palmas 53.75%
No Goal 11.11% (-0.01)
Ceuta 35.14% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.02%
Equal 8 12.53%
Under 8 39.45%
Over 9 36.2%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 51.98%
Over 10.5 25.98%
Under 10.5 74.02%

Las Palmas Goals

Over 1.5 38.22% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.78% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.87% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.13% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.41% (+0.02)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 56.42% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.58% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.35% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.65% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.74% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Las Palmas 46.9%
Draw 29.01%
Ceuta 24.06%
Las Palmas
1-0 @ 14.52%
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 4.51% (-0.01)
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.11% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 29.01%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 24.06%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Dec 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristian Rodriguez 27' yellowcard
  • Marcos Fernandez Sanchez 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 89' goal
  • goal Enrique Clemente 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Loiodice 75'
  • yellowcard Marvin Park 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 80'