Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Cordoba had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cordoba win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.