Segunda Division Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2026 7.30pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Granada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 3.15pm
Huesca 0 - 0 Ceuta
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jose Matos

Granada

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
Granada 5 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Jose Arnaiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Granada has a probability of 27.25% and a draw has a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Granada win is 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Ceuta 46.52% (-0.02)
Draw 26.23% (-0.01)
Granada 27.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.88% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.17%
Under 3.5 71.83%
Over 4.5 15.67% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.33% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 34.27% (+0.15)
Draw 44.96% (-0.04)
Granada 20.78% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 54.9%
No Goal 7.25% (-0.01)
Granada 37.85% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.93%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 33.08% (+0.01)
Over 9 42.97%
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 45.07%
Over 10.5 32.05%
Under 10.5 67.95%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 44.09% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.91% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.9%
Under 3.5 93.1%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5 63.51% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.49% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.29% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.71% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 9.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.29% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.78% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.22% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ceuta 46.52%
Draw 26.23%
Granada 27.25%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.77%
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.23%
Granada
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.65% (+0.01)
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pedro Serra 19' goal
  • Pedro Serra 34' yellowcard
  • Oscar Naasei Oppong 39' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Rodriguez 40'
  • yellowcard Marcos Fernandez Sanchez 62'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 68'