Segunda Division Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marc Domènech 28' goal
  • Salvi 34' yellowcard
  • Yann Bodiger 66' yellowcard
  • Aboubacar Bassinga 77' yellowcard
  • José Campaña 77' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Schor 77' yellowcard
  • Kuki Zalazar 79' goal
  • yellowcard Baba Diocou 38'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Lemos 64'
  • yellowcard Jorge Pascual 64'
  • yellowcard Sergio Rodelas 64'
  • goal Baba Diocou 66'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bouldini 85'

Ceuta vs Granada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 3.15pm
Huesca 2 - 0 Ceuta
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Granada

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
Granada 5 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
José Manuel Arnáiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Granada had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 46.52%
Draw 26.23%
Granada 27.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.96%
Under 1.5 26.04%
Over 2.5 49.88%
Under 2.5 50.12%
Over 3.5 28.17%
Under 3.5 71.83%
Over 4.5 15.66% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.34% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 34.27%
Draw 44.96%
Granada 20.78%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 54.9%
No Goal 7.25%
Granada 37.85%

Corners

Over 8 54.93%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 33.08%
Over 9 42.97%
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 45.07%
Over 10.5 32.05%
Under 10.5 67.95%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 44.09%
Under 1.5 55.91%
Over 2.5 19.48%
Under 2.5 80.52%
Over 3.5 6.89% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.11% (+0.02)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5 63.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.29%
Under 1.5 70.71%
Over 2.5 9.71%
Under 2.5 90.29%
Over 3.5 2.78%
Under 3.5 97.22%

Score analysis

Ceuta 46.52%
Draw 26.23%
Granada 27.25%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 6.76% (-0.01)
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.23%
Granada
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pedro Serra 19' goal
  • Pedro Serra 34' yellowcard
  • Oscar Naasei Oppong 39' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Rodriguez 40'
  • yellowcard Marcos Fernandez Sanchez 62'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 68'