Segunda Division Gameweek 28
Mar 1, 2026 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Anduva
  • Alberto Marí 46' yellowcard
  • Salim El Jebari 63' yellowcard
  • Diego Sia 84' yellowcard
  • Iker Varela 87' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Aarón Martin 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kialy Abdoul Kone 26'
  • goal Marcos Fernández 43'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 46'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Almenara 74'
  • yellowcard Yago Cantero 84'
  • yellowcard Konrad de la Fuente 85'

Mirandes vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirandes

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.15pm
Huesca 1 - 2 Mirandes
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Carlos Fernandez

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 6.00pm
Ceuta 3 - 2 Cordoba
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 0-1 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Mirandes 42.4% (+0.15)
Draw 28.71%
Ceuta 28.89% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.96% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.32% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 32.68% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 41.12% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 58.88% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 20.44% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 79.56% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 9.9% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 90.1% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Mirandes 27.52%
Draw 46.78%
Ceuta 25.7%

Team To Score First

Mirandes 45.68% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.92% (+0.09)
Ceuta 44.4% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.66% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.46%
Under 8 37.88% (+0.11)
Over 9 37.75% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.92% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.34% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 27.32% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 72.68% (+0.07)

Mirandes Goals

Over 1.5 36.4% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.6% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.04% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.96% (+0.03)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 61.83% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 38.17% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 26.45% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 73.55% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.82% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 92.18% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 1.88% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 98.12% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Mirandes 42.39%
Draw 28.71%
Ceuta 28.9%
Mirandes
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.97% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.98% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.93% (-0.01)
Total : 42.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 28.71%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 9.9% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.77% (-0.11)
Total : 28.9%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Oct 18, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT