Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.42% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%) , while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.