Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (10.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.