Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.58% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.09%) , while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.