Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.97% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.