Segunda Division
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
  • Diego Hormigo 58' yellowcard
  • Manu Trigueros 67' yellowcard
  • Sergio Rodelas 67' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Lemos 67' yellowcard
  • Jorge Pascual 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chupe 29'
  • yellowcard Josué Dorrio 63'
  • yellowcard Adrián Niño 77'
  • yellowcard Aarón Ochoa 77'
  • yellowcard Rafa Rodríguez 77'
  • goal David Larrubia 86'
  • yellowcard Jokin Gabilondo 90'

Granada vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.30pm
Ceuta 2 - 1 Granada
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
José Manuel Arnáiz

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 8.00pm
Malaga 1 - 0 Albacete
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
David Larrubia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.54% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%) , while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Granada 46.36% (-0.05)
Draw 27.54% (-0.04)
Malaga 26.09% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.75% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.77% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 55.23% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 23.42% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.58% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.32% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.68% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Granada 32.8%
Draw 46.23%
Malaga 20.97%

Team To Score First

Granada 53.81%
No Goal 8.87% (-0.03)
Malaga 37.32% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.91% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.91%
Under 8 30.18% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.75% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 42.09% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.41% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.59% (-0.01)

Granada Goals

Over 1.5 41.29% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.71% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 17.09% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.91% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.54% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.46% (+0.04)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 61% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 39% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 25.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.09% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 7.74% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Granada 46.35%
Draw 27.54%
Malaga 26.09%
Granada
1-0 @ 12.41% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.45% (-0.05)
Total : 46.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 27.54%
Malaga
0-1 @ 8.45% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.09%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 6, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 38
May 3, 2025 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • A 28' goal
  • Luismi 43' yellowcard
  • Daniel Rodriguez Sanchez 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Angel Brau Blanquez 54'
  • yellowcard Heorhii Tsitaishvili 61'
Segunda Division Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
  • Manu Trigueros 28' yellowcard
  • Carlos Neva 56' goal
  • Miguel Rubio 74' yellowcard
  • Myrto Uzuni 77' goal
  • Theo Corbeanu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal A 60'
  • yellowcard Sergio Castel 79'
  • yellowcard Luismi 82'
  • yellowcard Daniel Rodriguez Sanchez 89'
  • goal Nelson Monte 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Carlos Ruiz Rubio 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nelson Monte 90'+7'
Segunda Division Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
  • Sergio Ruiz 90' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 19
Dec 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Ruben Castro 37' goal
  • goal Jose Callejon 62'
Copa del Rey
Jan 17, 2021 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Caye Quintana 76' goal
  • Juande 78' yellowcard
  • goal Fede Vico 16'
  • goal Jorge Molina 28'