Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.54% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%) , while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.