Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 (10.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.