Segunda Division Gameweek 36
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Racing 5 - 1 Almeria
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.30pm
Malaga 2 - 0 Las Palmas
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
David Larrubia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw has a probability of 23.82% and a win for Malaga has a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.48%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Malaga win it is 1-2 (5.74%).

Result

Almeria 56.36% (-0.26)
Draw 23.82% (+0.22)
Malaga 19.81% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.77% (+2.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.63% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 22.37% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 54.53% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 45.47% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 31.59% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 68.41% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 18.45% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 81.55% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Almeria 44.76% (+4.29)
Draw 37.56% (-2.00)
Malaga 17.68% (-2.29)

Team To Score First

Almeria 61.25% (+1.40)
No Goal 6% (-0.06)
Malaga 32.75% (-1.33)

Corners

Over 8 61.43% (+3.12)
Equal 8 11.58% (+0.36)
Under 8 26.99% (-3.49)
Over 9 49.26% (+2.38)
Equal 9 12.18% (+0.75)
Under 9 38.57% (-3.12)
Over 10.5 37.6% (+1.46)
Under 10.5 62.4% (-1.46)

Almeria Goals

Over 1.5 53.54% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 46.46% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 26.83% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 73.17% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 10.46%
Under 3.5 89.54%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 57.52% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 42.48% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 24.56% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 75.44% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 7.3% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 92.7% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.99% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.01% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Almeria 56.35%
Draw 23.82%
Malaga 19.81%
Almeria
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 10.48% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.11)
Other @ 10.32%
Total : 56.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.82%
Malaga
1-2 @ 5.74% (+0.30)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.85% (+0.03)
Total : 19.81%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Dec 21, 2025 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dani Lorenzo 33' goal
  • Izan Merino 36' yellowcard
  • Diego Murillo 41' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 81' goal
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 81' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 90' yellowcard
  • Victor Garcia 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Munoz 24'
  • yellowcard Daijiro Chirino 27'
  • goal Sergio Arribas 69'
  • yellowcard Nelson Monte 76'
  • yellowcard Dion Lopy 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 29
Mar 1, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
  • Leo Baptistao 11' goal
  • Sergio Arribas 53' goal
  • Edgar Gonzalez 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Ochoa Moloney 3'
  • yellowcard Kevin Medina 24'
  • yellowcard Nelson Monte 33'
  • goal Daniel Rodriguez Sanchez 55'
  • goal A 62'
  • yellowcard Luismi 68'
Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Fernando Martinez 12' goal
  • Manu Molina 51' yellowcard
  • Luismi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 20'
  • yellowcard Rubi 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Langa 49'
  • yellowcard Dion Lopy 51'
  • yellowcard Chumi 56'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 63'
  • goal Alex Pastor 90'+7' (OG)
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • 64' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Centelles 24'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard 87'
Segunda Division Gameweek 27
Feb 12, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alberto Escassi 22' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Peybernes 76' yellowcard
  • Victor Gomez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Akieme 34'
  • goal Umar Sadiq 53'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 86'
Segunda Division Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ivan Martos 22' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 27' yellowcard
  • Ivan Martos 46' redcard
  • Umar Sadiq 51' goal
  • Chumi 58' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Gomez 3'
  • yellowcard Kevin Villodres Medina 23'
  • yellowcard Luis Munoz 57'