Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.