Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm

Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions

W
W
L
W
L
W

Segunda Division

W
W
L
W
L
W

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm

Granada 0 - 1 Malaga

Goals scored

41

Top scorer

David Larrubia

Real Valladolid

All competitions

W
D
L
L
L
L

Segunda Division

W
D
L
L
L
L

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm

Valladolid 1 - 0 Huesca

Goals scored

29

Top scorer

Peter

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw has a probability of 23.93% and a win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Real Valladolid win it is 0-1 (6.28%).

Result

Malaga 57.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 23.93%

Real Valladolid 18.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

48.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 26.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 48.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 51.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 25.92%

Under 3.5 74.05%

Over 4.5 14.83%

Under 4.5 85.17%

First Half Winner

Malaga 39.2%

Draw 41.11%

Real Valladolid 19.69%

Team To Score First

Malaga 61.77% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 7.33% ▼ (-0.01)

Real Valladolid 30.9%

Corners

Over 8 49.79%

Equal 8 12.2%

Under 8 38.02%

Over 9 38.11%

Equal 9 11.68%

Under 9 50.21%

Over 10.5 27.85%

Under 10.5 72.15%

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 50.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 49.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 23.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 76.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 9.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 90.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 53.77% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 0.5 46.23% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 1.5 20.28% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 79.72% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 94.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 98.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Malaga 57.16%

Draw 23.95%

Real Valladolid 18.92%

Malaga

1-0 @ 12.95% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 6.12%

3-1 @ 5.28%

3-2 @ 2.58%

Other @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 57.16%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 4.41%

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 23.95%

Real Valladolid

0-1 @ 6.28%

1-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 2.87%

1-3 @ 1.41%

2-3 @ 1.21%

Other @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 18.92%

Head to Head

Nov 29, 2025 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Peter 5'
Maranhao 24'
Julien Ponceau 74'
Ibrahim Akitunde Alani 90'+1'
Ibrahim Akitunde Alani 90'+3'

Victor Garcia 49'
49'
Dani Lorenzo 56'
Dani Lorenzo 57'
Adrian Nino Heredia 59'

Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Brandon 4'
Andres Caro 36'
Aleix Febas 40'
Brandon 43'
Alvaro Vadillo 46'
Alvaro Vadillo 49'
Ramon Enriquez 88'

Shon Weissman 59'
Shon Weissman 63'
Anuar 86'
Sergio Leon 90'+2'

Oct 8, 2021 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jawad El Yamiq 36'
Roque Mesa 38'
Cristo 42'
Oscar Plano 53'
Anuar 90'+4'

Brandon 37'
Paulino de la Fuente 60'
Juande 84'
Genaro Rodriguez 90'+2'

Mar 1, 2014 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Roque Santa Cruz 13'

Daniel Larsson 30'
Stefan Mitrovic 80'

Sep 27, 2013 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Lluis Sastre 41'
Javi Guerra 54'
Humberto Osorio 64'
Javier Baraja 68'

Roque Santa Cruz 23'
Bartlomiej Pawlowski 76'

Mar 9, 2013 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Manucho 41'
Mikel Balenziaga 78'

MartÃn Demichelis 8'
Manuel Iturra 23'

Form Data

Granada 0 - 1 Malaga

Malaga 1 - 0 Albacete

Real Sociedad B 2 - 1 Malaga

Malaga 2 - 1 Leonesa

Mirandes 2 - 1 Malaga

Malaga 3 - 0 Burgos

Valladolid 1 - 0 Huesca

Sporting Gijon 2 - 2 Valladolid

Granada 5 - 1 Valladolid

Valladolid 0 - 4 Castellon

Cordoba 3 - 1 Valladolid

Valladolid 0 - 1 Albacete