Segunda Division Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Chupe 11' yellowcard
  • Carlos Dotor 14' goal
  • Ángel Recio 46' yellowcard
  • Chupe 48' goal
  • Jokin Gabilondo 59' yellowcard
  • Rafa Rodríguez 73' yellowcard
  • Adrián Niño 73' yellowcard
  • Juanpe 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iván Garriel 37'
  • goal Peter Federico 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Víctor Meseguer 64'
  • yellowcard Juanmi Latasa 64'
  • goal Chupe 65' (OG)
  • yellowcard Vegard Erlien 84'
  • yellowcard Stipe Biuk 84'
  • goal Juanmi Latasa 90'+2'

Malaga vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
Granada 0 - 1 Malaga
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
David Larrubia

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
Valladolid 1 - 0 Huesca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Peter

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.93% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%) , while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 57.29% (+0.15)
Draw 23.93%
Real Valladolid 18.78% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.53% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.59% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 48.38% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.62% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.9% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.83%
Under 4.5 85.17%

First Half Winner

Malaga 39.2%
Draw 41.11%
Real Valladolid 19.69%

Team To Score First

Malaga 61.75% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.35% (+0.02)
Real Valladolid 30.9%

Corners

Over 8 49.83% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.2%
Under 8 37.97% (-0.06)
Over 9 38.15% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 50.17% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 27.88% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 72.12% (-0.04)

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 50.55% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 49.45% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.95% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 76.05% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.71% (-0.04)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 53.6% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 46.4% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 20.16% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 79.84% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 5.29% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.71% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.13% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.87% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Malaga 57.28%
Draw 23.94%
Real Valladolid 18.79%
Malaga
1-0 @ 12.99% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.64% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.36% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.28% (+0.03)
Total : 57.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.35% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.94%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Total : 18.79%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 29, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter 5' goal
  • Maranhao 24' yellowcard
  • Julien Ponceau 74' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Akitunde Alani 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Akitunde Alani 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Garcia 49'
  • yellowcard 49'
  • yellowcard Dani Lorenzo 56'
  • yellowcard Dani Lorenzo 57'
  • goal Adrian Nino Heredia 59'
Segunda Division Gameweek 35
Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brandon 4' goal
  • Andres Caro 36' yellowcard
  • Aleix Febas 40' yellowcard
  • Brandon 43' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Vadillo 46' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Vadillo 49' goal
  • Ramon Enriquez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Shon Weissman 59'
  • goal Shon Weissman 63'
  • yellowcard Anuar 86'
  • yellowcard Sergio Leon 90'+2'
Segunda Division Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jawad El Yamiq 36' yellowcard
  • Roque Mesa 38' yellowcard
  • Cristo 42' yellowcard
  • Oscar Plano 53' goal
  • Anuar 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon 37'
  • yellowcard Paulino de la Fuente 60'
  • yellowcard Juande 84'
  • yellowcard Genaro Rodriguez 90'+2'
La Liga
Mar 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Roque Santa Cruz 13' goal
  • goal Daniel Larsson 30'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mitrovic 80'
La Liga
Sep 27, 2013 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lluis Sastre 41' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 54' goal
  • Humberto Osorio 64' goal
  • Javier Baraja 68' yellowcard
  • goal Roque Santa Cruz 23'
  • goal Bartlomiej Pawlowski 76'
La Liga
Mar 9, 2013 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Manucho 41' goal
  • Mikel Balenziaga 78' yellowcard
  • goal Martín Demichelis 8'
  • yellowcard Manuel Iturra 23'