Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (10.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.