Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 43.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.25% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%) , while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.