Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.