Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.