Segunda Division Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marcos Fernández 15' goal
  • Konrad de la Fuente 46' yellowcard
  • Youness Lachhab 73' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Schor 85' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Almenara 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack 26'
  • yellowcard Lucas Noubi 46'
  • yellowcard Samuele Mulattieri 77'
  • yellowcard Cristian Herrera 77'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard Dani Barcia 85'
  • goal Adrià Altimira 90'+2'

Ceuta vs Deportivo La Coruna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
Las Palmas 4 - 0 Ceuta
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Deportivo La Coruna

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
Deportivo 0 - 2 Granada
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Yeremay Hernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-2 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 39.15% (-0.04)
Draw 26.45% (+0.03)
Deportivo La Coruna 34.44% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.81% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.72% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.28% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 53.75% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.25% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.59% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.41% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.23% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 81.77% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 30.76%
Draw 44.31%
Deportivo La Coruna 24.94%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 48.58% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.57% (+0.03)
Deportivo La Coruna 44.85% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.33%
Equal 8 11.83%
Under 8 34.84%
Over 9 41.69%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 46.67%
Over 10.5 31.18%
Under 10.5 68.82%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 40.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.16% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.67% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.33% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.31% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.69% (+0.04)

Deportivo La Coruna Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.09% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.91% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.07% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.93% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.8% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ceuta 39.14%
Draw 26.45%
Deportivo La Coruna 34.42%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.02% (-0.04)
Total : 39.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.57% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.01%
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.45%
Deportivo La Coruna
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-1 @ 8% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 4.91% (-0.01)
Total : 34.42%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 23, 2025 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT