Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-2 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.