Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.17% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%) , while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.