Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.49% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%) , while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.