Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.