Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.