Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.12% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (8.31%).