Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.29% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%) , while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.