Segunda Division
Mar 28, 2026 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • Iván Alejo 61' yellowcard
  • Stipe Biuk 82' yellowcard
  • Noah Ohio 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario González 69'
  • yellowcard Víctor Mollejo 69'
  • yellowcard Oier Luengo 81'
  • yellowcard Brais Martínez 81'
  • yellowcard David González 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Aitor Buñuel 90'+5'

Real Valladolid vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.15pm
Mirandes 2 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Peter

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Burgos 4 - 0 Cordoba
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
David González

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Real Valladolid 37.82% (+0.08)
Draw 28.66% (-0.04)
Burgos 33.55% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.52% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.45% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 31.55% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 43.38% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 56.62% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 22.79% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77.21% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.14% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.86% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Real Valladolid 28.42%
Draw 47.26%
Burgos 24.32%

Team To Score First

Real Valladolid 49.28% (+0.01)
No Goal 10.13% (-0.02)
Burgos 40.59% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.24% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.47% (-0.02)
Under 8 41.29% (-0.03)
Over 9 34.64% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.02)
Under 9 53.76% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 24.74% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 75.26% (-0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 1.5 34.21% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 65.79% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 12.99% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.01% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.09% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.91% (-0.04)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 65.4% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.6% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.97%
Under 1.5 69.03%
Over 2.5 11.09%
Under 2.5 88.91%
Over 3.5 3.44%
Under 3.5 96.56%

Score analysis

Real Valladolid 37.82%
Draw 28.67%
Burgos 33.56%
Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.99% (+0.04)
Total : 37.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 28.67%
Burgos
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.56%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Oct 12, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Luis Perez 45' goal
  • goal Alex Sancris 51'
Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Ander Martin 4' goal
  • Jose Antonio Caro 63' yellowcard
  • Bolo 64' yellowcard
  • Alex Sancris 69' yellowcard
  • Fernando Nino 73' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Curro 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Sanchez 90'+6'
Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Maranhao 6' goal
  • Monchu 41' goal
  • Victor Meseguer 68' goal
  • Sergio Escudero 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rosa 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ojeda 53'
  • yellowcard Miki Munoz 69'
Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 8, 2022 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Grego 34'
  • yellowcard Jose Matos 41'
Segunda Division Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Miguel Rubio 4' yellowcard
  • Jose Antonio Caro 34' yellowcard
  • J. Garcia 36' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 40' goal
  • Juan Manuel Garcia Garcia 42' goal
  • Aitor Cordoba Kerejeta 50' yellowcard
  • Unai Elgezabal 58' yellowcard
  • Saul Berjon 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Vallejo 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 90'+2'