Segunda Division Gameweek 33
Apr 1, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.15pm
Valladolid 0 - 1 Burgos
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
David González

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
Ceuta 2 - 1 Cadiz
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burgos win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.04%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (7.13%).

Result

Burgos 54.19% (-0.11)
Draw 26% (+0.04)
Ceuta 19.8% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.84% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 30.26% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 44.09% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 55.91% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 22.94% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.06% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.71%
Under 4.5 87.29%

First Half Winner

Burgos 35.1%
Draw 42.97%
Ceuta 21.93%

Team To Score First

Burgos 55.2%
No Goal 8.98%
Ceuta 35.82%

Corners

Over 8 51.26%
Equal 8 12.36% (+0.10)
Under 8 36.38% (-0.10)
Over 9 39.3% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.11)
Under 9 48.74%
Over 10.5 28.69% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 71.31% (+0.18)

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 46.18% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.82% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.74% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.26% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.63% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.37% (+0.03)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 53.13% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 46.87% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 19.73% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 80.27% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.51% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.49% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.3%
Under 3.5 98.7%

Score analysis

Burgos 54.2%
Draw 26%
Ceuta 19.8%
Burgos
1-0 @ 14.15% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.49% (-0.02)
Total : 54.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.98% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 19.8%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 29, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Hernandez 8' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 20' goal
  • Anuar 47' yellowcard
  • Samuel Obeng 85' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 86' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Redru 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grego 49'
  • yellowcard Miguel Atienza 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 71'