Segunda Division Gameweek 33
Apr 1, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Mario González 31' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 46' yellowcard
  • David González 63' yellowcard
  • Kévin Appin 71' yellowcard
  • Curro Sánchez 71' yellowcard
  • Florian Miguel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Aboubacar Bassinga 22'
  • yellowcard Aisar Ahmed 46'
  • yellowcard Kuki Zalazar 46'
  • yellowcard Konrad de la Fuente 81'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 81'
  • yellowcard José Campaña 88'

Burgos vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.15pm
Valladolid 0 - 1 Burgos
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
David González

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
Ceuta 2 - 1 Cadiz
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.04% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 54.09%
Draw 26.04%
Ceuta 19.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.68% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 30.32% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.05%
Under 2.5 55.95%
Over 3.5 22.91% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.09% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.66% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.34% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Burgos 35.1%
Draw 42.97%
Ceuta 21.93%

Team To Score First

Burgos 55.2%
No Goal 8.99%
Ceuta 35.81%

Corners

Over 8 51.26%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 36.38%
Over 9 39.3%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 48.74%
Over 10.5 28.69%
Under 10.5 71.31%

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 46.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 79.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.59% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.41% (+0.01)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 53.19% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 46.81% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 19.76% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.24% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.53% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.3% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Burgos 54.09%
Draw 26.03%
Ceuta 19.86%
Burgos
1-0 @ 14.15% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.45% (-0.01)
Total : 54.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.03%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 7.16%
1-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Total : 19.86%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Nov 29, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Hernandez 8' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 20' goal
  • Anuar 47' yellowcard
  • Samuel Obeng 85' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 86' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Redru 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grego 49'
  • yellowcard Miguel Atienza 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 71'