Segunda Division Gameweek 32
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marcos Fernández 21' goal
  • Bojan Kovacevic 65' goal
  • Arick Betancourt 71' yellowcard
  • Konrad de la Fuente 77' yellowcard
  • Josema 88' yellowcard
  • Albert Caparrós 88' yellowcard
  • Josema 89' yellowcard
  • Carlos Redru 89' yellowcard
  • Albert Caparrós 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suso 59'
  • yellowcard Álex Fernández 59'
  • yellowcard Antoñito Cordero 69'
  • yellowcard Rominigue Kouamé 69'
  • yellowcard Rominigue Kouamé 70'
  • yellowcard Roger Martí 71'
  • goal Roger Martí 78'

Ceuta vs Cadiz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Leganes 5 - 2 Ceuta
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Cadiz

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
Cadiz 0 - 3 Malaga
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Dawda Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 45.8% (+0.06)
Draw 26.33%
Cadiz 27.87% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.52% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.48% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.75%
Under 2.5 49.25%
Over 3.5 28.68% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.32% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.29% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.71% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 34.29%
Draw 44.49%
Cadiz 21.22%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 55.69%
No Goal 7.37%
Cadiz 36.94%

Corners

Over 8 55.81%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 32.15%
Over 9 43.71%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 44.19%
Over 10.5 32.61%
Under 10.5 67.39%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 44.08% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.92% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.36% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.89% (-0.02)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5 63.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.82% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.18% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ceuta 45.8%
Draw 26.33%
Cadiz 27.87%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.9% (+0.03)
Total : 45.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 26.33%
Cadiz
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.14% (-0.01)
Total : 27.87%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 28, 2025 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT