Segunda Division
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Cadiz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 1.00pm
Leganes 5 - 2 Ceuta
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Cadiz

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
Cadiz 0 - 3 Malaga
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Dawda Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Cadiz has a probability of 27.87% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Cadiz win is 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Ceuta 45.8% (+0.06)
Draw 26.33%
Cadiz 27.87% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.52% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.48% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.75%
Under 2.5 49.25%
Over 3.5 28.68% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.32% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.29% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.71% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 34.29%
Draw 44.49%
Cadiz 21.22%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 55.69%
No Goal 7.37%
Cadiz 36.94%

Corners

Over 8 55.81%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 32.15%
Over 9 43.71%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 44.19%
Over 10.5 32.61%
Under 10.5 67.39%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 44.08% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.92% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.36% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.89% (-0.02)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5 63.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.82% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.18% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ceuta 45.8%
Draw 26.33%
Cadiz 27.87%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.9% (+0.03)
Total : 45.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 26.33%
Cadiz
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.14% (-0.01)
Total : 27.87%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 28, 2025 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT